Politics13 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 30% or more?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$791
72 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 35 traders
TX-12 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $16.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs11 NO
8%92%
92% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+4 new YES$0+8 new NO$205
0 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $64 is directional: YES $1·NO $63YES Team
Total Invested
$1
Avg Win Rate
74.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-55.5%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$291
Avg Win Rate
80.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$141(+48.2%)
Whales
11
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 61¢·142.2 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $87 · WR 79.6%
I
i2dt◆Proven🥈
Entry 67¢·88 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $59 · WR 70.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 87¢·66.8 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $58 · WR 85.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 61¢·44 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $27 · WR 88.7%
L
Luxurious-Offense-Pitcher
Entry 100¢·13.5 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $13 · WR 74.2%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 85.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 89.0%
T
Thorny-Parachute-Philanthropy
Entry 50¢·17.8 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $9 · WR 85.3%
K
korda77
Entry 50¢·17.7 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $9 · WR 85.3%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 85.9%
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