Politics13 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 20%-25%?
YES Price
39¢
39% implied
NO Price
61¢
61% implied
Volume
$4.5K
199 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 77 traders
TX-12 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $16.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs11 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$83+19 new NO$438
$73 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3 is directional: YES $0·NO $3YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$159
Avg Win Rate
84.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$6(-3.5%)
Whales
11
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 68¢·66.8 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $46 · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 62¢·48 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 · WR 79.6%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 73¢·24 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $18 · WR 88.1%
M
Moral-Stamp
Entry 67¢·17.8 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $12 · WR 84.3%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 59¢·20 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $12 · WR 88.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $10 · WR 87.7%
K
korda77
Entry 50¢·17.7 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $9 · WR 85.3%
L
Lustrous-Cyclooxygenase-Output
Entry 59¢·13.5 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 83.9%
M
mapleggg
Entry 67¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 85.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 60¢·10 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 89.0%
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