🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In
Politics13 days left

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 25%-30%?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$1.9K
115 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 56 traders

TX-12 House Election Margin of Victory

8 MARKETS · $16.8K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs10 NO
9%91%
91% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 80% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$19+12 new NO$395
$8 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $18 is directional: YES $14·NO $4
YES Team
Total Invested
$14
Avg Win Rate
74.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$8(-55.1%)
Whales
1
S
sweetj🥇
Entry 14¢·100 shares
$-8INV $14 · WR 74.9%

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 3480ms
Smart money 9% YES: the Republican Party candidate win…