Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-01 House election by 3% or more?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$1.2K
82 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 45 traders
MD-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $25.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs9 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 25% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$13+5 new NO$177
$14 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $24 is directional: YES $6·NO $18YES Team
Total Invested
$6
Avg Win Rate
79.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$2(+34.5%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$199
Avg Win Rate
82.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$65(+32.5%)
Whales
9
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 73¢·110.2 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $81 · WR 88.0%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 97¢·41 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $40 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 96¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $19 · WR 72.1%
J
johnashbough◆Proven
Entry 93¢·19.1 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $18 · WR 56.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 95¢·16 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $15 · WR 87.7%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 66.6%
R
Revolving-Stimulus-Pride
Entry 50¢·17.6 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $9 · WR 87.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·14 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $7 · WR 88.2%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 9¢·11 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $1 · WR 87.0%
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