Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MD-01 House election by 12%-15%?
YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$4.7K
226 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 89 traders
MD-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $25.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs10 NO
9%91%
91% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%
+3 new YES$5+0 new NO$0
YES Team
Total Invested
$12
Avg Win Rate
92.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-36.6%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$241
Avg Win Rate
85.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$60(+25.1%)
Whales
10
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 66¢·103.2 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $68 · WR 88.0%
W
wuwuwuwuwu11🥈hedged
Entry 71¢·60 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$43
Win Rate
92.3%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $43 · WR 92.3%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 71¢·41 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $29 · WR 87.7%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 79¢·35 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $28 · WR 88.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 76¢·30 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $23 · WR 86.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 79¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $16 · WR 79.7%
M
melchior1248
Entry 71¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $14 · WR 69.8%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 66¢·20 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $13 · WR 66.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·14 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $7 · WR 88.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 22¢·1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 87.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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