Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MD-01 House election by 15%-18%?
YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$6.6K
282 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 90 traders
MD-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $25.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs11 NO
8%92%
92% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2 is directional: YES $0·NO $2YES Team
Total Invested
$16
Avg Win Rate
55.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$14(-91.7%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$255
Avg Win Rate
85.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$144(+56.5%)
Whales
11
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 81¢·103.2 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $83 · WR 88.0%
A
0xa24d776f...🥈
Entry 41¢·120 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$63
+$63INV $49 · WR 87.7%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 69¢·55 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $38 · WR 88.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 81¢·41 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $33 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 81¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $16 · WR 72.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 66.6%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 79.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 48¢·15 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $7 · WR 87.7%
C
cloverpmq2hedged
Entry 20¢·20 shares·also $16 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $4 · WR 55.6%
0
0x02b8c8e5...
Entry 86¢·2.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 71.4%
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