Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-01 House election by 0%-3%?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$907
71 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 39 traders
MD-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $25.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs11 NO
8%92%
92% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$3+2 new NO$161
$2 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $0 is directional: YES $0·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
55.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$0(+9.1%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$232
Avg Win Rate
84.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$72(+30.8%)
Whales
11
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 77¢·103.2 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $79 · WR 88.0%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 96¢·61 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $58 · WR 87.7%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 100¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $20 · WR 88.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 95¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $19 · WR 72.1%
N
neverhackme
Entry 94¢·15 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
75.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $14 · WR 75.3%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 52¢·20.9 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $11 · WR 79.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 89.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 66.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·14 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $7 · WR 88.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·7.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $4 · WR 79.6%
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