Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MD-01 House election by 3%-6%?
YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$1.1K
69 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 39 traders
MD-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $25.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs11 NO
8%92%
92% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$21+3 new NO$172
$3 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2 is directional: YES $2·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$2
Avg Win Rate
55.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$6(+245.8%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$491
Avg Win Rate
84.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$15(-3.1%)
Whales
11
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 99¢·143.9 shares
Invested
$142
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $142 · WR 79.6%
E
Ezioauditore0🥈
Entry 94¢·143.7 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $135 · WR 87.4%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 79¢·103.2 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $82 · WR 88.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 99¢·41 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $41 · WR 87.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 73¢·40 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $29 · WR 88.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 99¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $20 · WR 72.1%
P
plainfolder
Entry 60¢·25 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $15 · WR 86.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 79.7%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $10 · WR 66.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·14 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $7 · WR 86.1%
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