Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MD-01 House election by 9%-12%?
YES Price
48¢
48% implied
NO Price
52¢
52% implied
Volume
$4.6K
258 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 87 traders
MD-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $25.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs10 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 64%
+2 new YES$49+3 new NO$87
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $18 is directional: YES $18·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$23
Avg Win Rate
60.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$11(-45.4%)
Whales
4
T
thanksforplayin🥇
Entry 23¢·70 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $16 · WR 55.6%
G
garbagecollect4🥈
Entry 67¢·8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 · WR 68.5%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 8¢·23.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 79.6%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 8¢·0.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 79.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$189
Avg Win Rate
85.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$50(-26.6%)
Whales
10
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 76¢·103.2 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $78 · WR 88.0%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 81¢·41 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $33 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 81¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $16 · WR 72.1%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 78¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $16 · WR 89.2%
G
god83743894
Entry 74¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $15 · WR 86.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 77¢·15 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $12 · WR 88.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $10 · WR 66.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·14 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 88.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 19¢·10 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $2 · WR 86.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 22¢·1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 87.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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