Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 30%-35%?
YES Price
55¢
55% implied
NO Price
45¢
45% implied
Volume
$5.7K
210 trades
Smart Whales
24
of 94 traders
HI-02 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $33.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs17 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 55¢
YES 29%NO 71%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 55¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 48% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $348 is directional: YES $169·NO $180YES Team
Total Invested
$169
Avg Win Rate
71.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$303(+179.6%)
Whales
7
F
fkpa🥇
Entry 20¢·281.5 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$98
+$98INV $58 · WR 59.6%
P
polybettor🥈
Entry 96¢·40.3 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
92.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $39 · WR 92.7%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥉
Entry 7¢·391.5 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$184
+$184INV $29 · WR 65.9%
D
deepervalue
Entry 92¢·24 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $22 · WR 77.1%
L
liverpoolfc◆Proven
Entry 88¢·11 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $10 · WR 81.5%
U
Unwelcome-Plaintiff-Photograph
Entry 88¢·10.1 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 57.4%
I
i2dt◆Proven
Entry 14¢·20 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $3 · WR 73.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$432
Avg Win Rate
75.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$210(-48.8%)
Whales
17
J
johnashbough🥇
Entry 78¢·199.4 shares
Invested
$155
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-149
$-149INV $155 · WR 55.0%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 71¢·149.1 shares
Invested
$106
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $106 · WR 87.7%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 79¢·69.2 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $55 · WR 89.0%
P
puskin
Entry 65¢·31.2 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
91.7%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $20 · WR 91.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 39¢·50 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $19 · WR 88.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 72¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $14 · WR 86.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 48¢·29.8 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $14 · WR 79.2%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 67¢·15 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $10 · WR 86.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 98¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $10 · WR 88.5%
L
lpgb
Entry 35¢·23 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 72.4%
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