Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 40%-45%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$4.7K
185 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 88 traders
HI-02 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $33.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs16 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 0.4¢
YES 20%NO 80%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 0.4¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 83% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $104 is directional: YES $87·NO $18YES Team
Total Invested
$93
Avg Win Rate
62.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$91(-98.2%)
Whales
4
F
fkpa🥇
Entry 18¢·272 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-47
$-47INV $48 · WR 59.6%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥈
Entry 7¢·391.5 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $29 · WR 65.9%
T
thanksforplayin🥉
Entry 19¢·53.6 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 55.9%
W
wuwuwuwuwu11hedged
Entry 31¢·19.7 shares·also $14 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 85.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$340
Avg Win Rate
81.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$187(+54.9%)
Whales
16
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 64¢·144.5 shares
Invested
$93
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $93 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 61¢·93.4 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $57 · WR 79.2%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 56¢·40 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $22 · WR 87.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 100¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 66.8%
P
plainfolder
Entry 63¢·31.3 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $20 · WR 86.1%
L
lpgb
Entry 79¢·23 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $18 · WR 72.4%
P
PollyForge
Entry 88¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $18 · WR 84.4%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 64¢·27.2 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $18 · WR 89.0%
J
johnashbough
Entry 86¢·20.5 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $18 · WR 55.0%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 74¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $15 · WR 86.1%
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