Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 50% or more?
YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$1.3K
64 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 42 traders
HI-02 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $33.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs13 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 14¢
YES 19%NO 81%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 14¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $31 is directional: YES $31·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$34
Avg Win Rate
66.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$86(+256.0%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$348
Avg Win Rate
86.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$10(+2.9%)
Whales
13
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 88¢·169.1 shares
Invested
$148
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $148 · WR 87.7%
G
god83743894🥈
Entry 100¢·50 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $50 · WR 86.0%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 100¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $40 · WR 88.5%
P
plainfolder
Entry 86¢·31.3 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $27 · WR 86.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 100¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $20 · WR 71.9%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 99¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $20 · WR 86.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 100¢·15 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $15 · WR 87.9%
C
Clever-Catalysis
Entry 98¢·13 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
84.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $13 · WR 84.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 88.6%
M
mapleggg
Entry 98¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 85.7%
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