Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 25%-30%?
YES Price
11¢
11% implied
NO Price
89¢
89% implied
Volume
$1.5K
91 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 61 traders
HI-02 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $33.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs14 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 11¢
YES 13%NO 88%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 11¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $53 is directional: YES $53·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$53
Avg Win Rate
63.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$20(+37.5%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$402
Avg Win Rate
85.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$30(+7.5%)
Whales
14
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 94¢·149.1 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $140 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 93¢·93.2 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $87 · WR 79.2%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 93¢·82 shares
Invested
$76
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $76 · WR 88.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 99¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $30 · WR 87.5%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 92¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $18 · WR 86.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 100¢·14.6 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $15 · WR 71.9%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 77¢·12.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 89.0%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 92¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 88.5%
G
god83743894
Entry 100¢·6.8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 86.0%
C
0xc34fc382...
Entry 99¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
74.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 74.3%
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