Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 35%-40%?
YES Price
12¢
12% implied
NO Price
88¢
88% implied
Volume
$9.7K
259 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 97 traders
HI-02 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $33.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs20 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 12¢
YES 9%NO 91%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 12¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 74% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $156 is directional: YES $115·NO $41YES Team
Total Invested
$115
Avg Win Rate
64.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$20(-17.5%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$368
Avg Win Rate
83.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$141(+38.3%)
Whales
20
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 43¢·149.1 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $64 · WR 87.7%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 90¢·45 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $41 · WR 88.5%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 92¢·40 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $37 · WR 71.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 72¢·40 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $29 · WR 87.5%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 90¢·30 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $27 · WR 86.6%
Q
quine-zyx
Entry 86¢·28.3 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $25 · WR 90.0%
I
Icy-Hedge-Shout
Entry 73¢·31.5 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $23 · WR 83.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 85¢·25 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $21 · WR 79.2%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 71¢·27 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $19 · WR 87.9%
L
lpgb
Entry 71¢·23 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $16 · WR 72.4%
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