Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 45%-50%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$3.9K
133 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 76 traders
HI-02 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $33.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs17 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 0.5¢
YES 15%NO 85%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 0.5¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 65% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $91 is directional: YES $59·NO $32YES Team
Total Invested
$59
Avg Win Rate
62.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$55(-92.6%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$452
Avg Win Rate
83.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$73(+16.2%)
Whales
17
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 93¢·149.1 shares
Invested
$139
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $139 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 94¢·52.8 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $50 · WR 79.2%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 85¢·53.8 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $46 · WR 86.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 98¢·40 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $39 · WR 87.5%
G
god83743894
Entry 99¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $30 · WR 86.0%
L
lpgb
Entry 96¢·23 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $22 · WR 72.4%
M
melchior1248
Entry 98¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 70.1%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 95¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $19 · WR 86.1%
J
johnashbough
Entry 92¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $18 · WR 55.0%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 95¢·17 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $16 · WR 88.5%
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