Politics13 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 15%-25%?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$835
91 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 35 traders
AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $26.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs9 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$215
Avg Win Rate
86.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$210(+97.7%)
Whales
9
G
god83743894🥇
Entry 50¢·192 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$88
+$88INV $96 · WR 85.9%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 49¢·62.1 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $30 · WR 85.9%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 50¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $25 · WR 86.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $20 · WR 88.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $15 · WR 89.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 38¢·27.3 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $10 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 79.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·16 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $8 · WR 89.3%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 6¢·6.5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $0 · WR 86.6%
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