Politics13 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 30%-35%?
YES Price
12¢
12% implied
NO Price
88¢
88% implied
Volume
$2.2K
179 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 68 traders
AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $26.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs9 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$230
Avg Win Rate
87.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$151(+65.7%)
Whales
9
H
haveagoodday🥇
Entry 48¢·106.5 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $51 · WR 86.6%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 50¢·96 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $48 · WR 88.1%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 61¢·70 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $43 · WR 89.3%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 49¢·62.1 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $30 · WR 85.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 88¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
—
—INV $18 · WR 89.0%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $15 · WR 88.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 56¢·17.3 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·16 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $8 · WR 79.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·16 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $8 · WR 86.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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