Politics13 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 40%-45%?
YES Price
27¢
27% implied
NO Price
73¢
73% implied
Volume
$5.3K
205 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 61 traders
AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $26.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs10 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$297
Avg Win Rate
85.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$96(+32.2%)
Whales
10
N
northdrawer🥇
Entry 49¢·155.3 shares
Invested
$76
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $76 · WR 87.7%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 65¢·70 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $46 · WR 86.1%
S
Shiny-Pension-Omission🥉
Entry 59¢·59.4 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $35 · WR 80.0%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 67¢·46.5 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $31 · WR 86.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 49¢·62.1 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $31 · WR 85.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $30 · WR 85.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 72¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $14 · WR 89.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·25.6 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $13 · WR 79.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 70¢·16 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $11 · WR 88.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $10 · WR 89.3%
Smart Whale Trades
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