Politics13 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 25%-30%?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$840
103 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 42 traders
AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $26.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
0 YESvs10 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$0
Avg Win Rate
unknown
Aggregate P&L
—
Whales
0
No smart whales on YES
NO Team
Total Invested
$214
Avg Win Rate
86.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$201(+93.9%)
Whales
10
G
graynotebook19🥇
Entry 50¢·92 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $46 · WR 89.3%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 49¢·62.1 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $30 · WR 85.9%
N
Negative-Bob-Vitro🥉
Entry 50¢·59.4 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $30 · WR 80.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·56 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $28 · WR 89.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $25 · WR 88.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 51¢·35 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $18 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·34 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $17 · WR 79.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 85.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 86.1%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 9¢·6.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $1 · WR 86.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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