Politics13 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 50%-55%?
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$1.1K
107 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 32 traders
AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $26.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs9 NO
10%90%
90% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $8 is directional: YES $8·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$8
Avg Win Rate
74.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$13(+158.8%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$308
Avg Win Rate
86.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$173(+56.1%)
Whales
9
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 50¢·140 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $70 · WR 88.7%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 71¢·63.5 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $45 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 52¢·70.8 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $37 · WR 79.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $30 · WR 89.0%
M
Moral-Stamp
Entry 50¢·59.4 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $30 · WR 84.3%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 91¢·31 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $28 · WR 85.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·56 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $28 · WR 86.1%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 74¢·36.5 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $27 · WR 86.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 86¢·16 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $14 · WR 88.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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