Politics13 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 45%-50%?
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$4.5K
239 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 69 traders
AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $26.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs11 NO
8%92%
92% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $30 is directional: YES $30·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$30
Avg Win Rate
74.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$12(-41.8%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
69.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$923(+71.3%)
Whales
11
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥇
Entry 50¢·1,907.7 shares
Invested
$954
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$801
+$801INV $954 · WR 63.6%
S
smallreceipt🥈
Entry 88¢·72 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $63 · WR 89.0%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 50¢·120 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $60 · WR 89.3%
N
Novel-Driveway-Upgrade
Entry 86¢·59.4 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $51 · WR 81.5%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 72¢·62.1 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $45 · WR 85.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 75¢·45 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $34 · WR 87.7%
G
god83743894
Entry 70¢·36 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $25 · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 70¢·36 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $25 · WR 79.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $20 · WR 88.1%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $15 · WR 86.1%
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