Politics13 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 55% or more?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$1.0K
121 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 41 traders
AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $26.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs10 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $8 is directional: YES $8·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$8
Avg Win Rate
75.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$0(+2.3%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$368
Avg Win Rate
80.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$331(+89.8%)
Whales
10
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥇
Entry 50¢·172 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$80
+$80INV $86 · WR 63.6%
S
smallreceipt🥈
Entry 50¢·116 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $58 · WR 89.0%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 50¢·92 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $46 · WR 86.1%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·76 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $38 · WR 85.9%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·62.1 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $31 · WR 85.9%
U
Ultimate-Yesterday-Dogsled
Entry 50¢·59.4 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $30 · WR 78.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 52¢·53.7 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $28 · WR 87.7%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $25 · WR 88.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·34 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $17 · WR 79.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 94¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 89.3%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1338ms