Politics1 days left
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$58.5K
1,632 trades
Smart Whales
87
of 262 traders · 2 on both sides
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
11 MARKETS · $976.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+30¢$223.2K21/48Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+30¢0¢
$223.2K21/48
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+36¢$10.7K20/35Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+36¢0¢
$10.7K20/35
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
22 YESvs67 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 13 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$71+32 new NO$8.8K
$1 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
3 smart whales18 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$24 of $5.1K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $267·NO $4.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$494
Avg Win Rate
79.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$258(-52.2%)
Whales
22
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 9¢·1,137.3 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-99
$-99INV $103 · WR 87.6%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 7¢·1,427 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $94 · WR 72.1%
N
neverhackme🥉
Entry 9¢·400 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $36 · WR 76.0%
E
e46m3hedged
Entry 9¢·201.4 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$18
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $18 · WR 79.3%
B
Bikesarethebest◆Proven
Entry 4¢·156.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 56.1%
7
0x700974a3...
Entry 5¢·90 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 81.2%
B
Bigggggggghedged
Entry 9¢·44.3 shares·also $44 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 85.7%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 5¢·70.5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 85.1%
E
Edje25
Entry 0¢·965.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $2 · WR 59.7%
D
0xd32ce89f...
Entry 9¢·25 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 83.3%
Showing top 10 of 22
NO Team
Total Invested
$13.3K
Avg Win Rate
86.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.8K(+36.3%)
Whales
67
B
BeginnersLuck2🥇
Entry 100¢·3,619.8 shares
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
92.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3.6K · WR 92.8%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 50¢·2,972.7 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$1482
+$1482INV $1.5K · WR 87.0%
V
VictorLudorum🥉
Entry 53¢·1,756.2 shares
Invested
$936
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$813
+$813INV $936 · WR 88.1%
C
conherence
Entry 93¢·877.9 shares
Invested
$818
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$57
+$57INV $818 · WR 58.7%
G
glm404.fund
Entry 48¢·1,709.3 shares
Invested
$816
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$887
+$887INV $816 · WR 85.8%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 61¢·1,160 shares
Invested
$709
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$447
+$447INV $709 · WR 88.7%
G
god83743894
Entry 56¢·1,056 shares
Invested
$588
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
+$464
+$464INV $588 · WR 85.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 99¢·575 shares
Invested
$570
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $570 · WR 87.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 97¢·465 shares
Invested
$452
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $452 · WR 88.1%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 97¢·372 shares
Invested
$362
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $362 · WR 89.3%
Showing top 10 of 67
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 353ms