Politics41 days left
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?
YES Price
23¢
23% implied
NO Price
77¢
77% implied
Volume
$27.1K
1,065 trades
Smart Whales
65
of 244 traders
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
11 MARKETS · $327.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
1¢+23¢$211.1K17/54Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+23¢1¢
$211.1K17/54
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+22¢$3.7K11/39Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+22¢0¢
$3.7K11/39
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Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs55 NO
15%85%
85% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team142 traders
Total Invested
$59
Avg Win Rate
59.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$28(+61.6%)
Whales
10
P
PPMT🥇
Entry 26¢·105 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $27 · WR 55.9%
M
Milky-Morbid🥈
Entry 5¢·189.5 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $10 · WR 58.3%
A
animal.bean🥉
Entry 50¢·9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
82.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $5 · WR 82.3%
S
Spectrum
Entry 16¢·14.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 61.2%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 6¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 56.2%
M
mildwindow27
Entry 43¢·0.7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 87.9%
Showing top 6 of 10
NO Team142 traders
Total Invested
$2.4K
Avg Win Rate
79.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$773(+37.4%)
Whales
55
A
abdkxrhxr🥇
Entry 71¢·754.1 shares
Invested
$534
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $534 · WR 71.7%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 69¢·222 shares
Invested
$153
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $153 · WR 88.9%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 67¢·183 shares
Invested
$122
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $122 · WR 89.4%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 73¢·165 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $120 · WR 89.6%
D
donthackme
Entry 72¢·158.9 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $115 · WR 87.9%
M
Mysaria
Entry 68¢·156.1 shares
Invested
$106
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $106 · WR 89.4%
P
PPMT
Entry 82¢·110 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $90 · WR 55.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 69¢·127.1 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $88 · WR 87.3%
B
balthazar
Entry 78¢·106 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $83 · WR 71.7%
A
Admirable-Trust
Entry 69¢·107.8 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $75 · WR 88.7%
Showing top 10 of 55
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