Politics1 days left
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$120.7K
2,676 trades
Smart Whales
101
of 464 traders
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
11 MARKETS · $846.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+30¢$223.2K21/48Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+30¢0¢
$223.2K21/48
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+36¢$10.7K20/35Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+36¢0¢
$10.7K20/35
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
25 YESvs76 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 17 YES vs 23 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+17 new YES$1.3K+35 new NO$7.4K
$999 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales17 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $22.2K is directional: YES $313·NO $21.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$350
Avg Win Rate
77.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$23(-6.7%)
Whales
25
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 10¢·999.2 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $99 · WR 72.1%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 11¢·799.3 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $88 · WR 79.3%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 9¢·643 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $58 · WR 87.6%
S
SusanWarrenHR◆Proven
Entry 13¢·110 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $15 · WR 67.5%
R
reblochon1
Entry 20¢·70.3 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $14 · WR 75.0%
S
sweetj
Entry 20¢·56.5 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $11 · WR 75.2%
N
neverhackme
Entry 9¢·61.1 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $6 · WR 76.0%
S
sk33625
Entry 23¢·20.7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
96.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $5 · WR 96.0%
W
walkwithyourboy
Entry 42¢·10 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 55.9%
V
vinii
Entry 14¢·25.8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 65.7%
Showing top 10 of 25
NO Team
Total Invested
$29.1K
Avg Win Rate
76.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.0K(+17.3%)
Whales
76
L
LulaVaiPerder🥇
Entry 86¢·10,155.1 shares
Invested
$8.7K
Win Rate
76.7%
Position P&L
+$457
+$457INV $8.7K · WR 76.7%
R
RenanPresidente.🥈
Entry 85¢·7,635.8 shares
Invested
$6.5K
Win Rate
77.4%
Position P&L
+$417
+$417INV $6.5K · WR 77.4%
6
65765757🥉
Entry 89¢·2,950.6 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $2.6K · WR 79.1%
C
conherence
Entry 85¢·2,942.3 shares
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$138
+$138INV $2.5K · WR 58.7%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 42¢·2,211.7 shares
Invested
$933
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$1058
+$1058INV $933 · WR 85.7%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 51¢·1,713.2 shares
Invested
$872
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$670
+$670INV $872 · WR 88.1%
L
Lucerys
Entry 50¢·1,651.7 shares
Invested
$818
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$668
+$668INV $818 · WR 87.0%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 86¢·836.1 shares
Invested
$723
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $723 · WR 55.3%
G
glm404.fund
Entry 52¢·1,127.5 shares
Invested
$590
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$425
+$425INV $590 · WR 85.8%
G
god83743894
Entry 73¢·666.2 shares
Invested
$485
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
+$115
+$115INV $485 · WR 85.6%
Showing top 10 of 76
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