Politics1 days left
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$34.7K
1,414 trades
Smart Whales
82
of 263 traders
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
11 MARKETS · $848.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+30¢$223.2K21/48Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+30¢0¢
$223.2K21/48
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+36¢$10.7K20/35Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+36¢0¢
$10.7K20/35
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
19 YESvs63 NO
23%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 65% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+4 new YES$2+13 new NO$1.6K
1 smart whale12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $556 is directional: YES $362·NO $194YES Team
Total Invested
$515
Avg Win Rate
75.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$351(-68.2%)
Whales
19
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 7¢·1,973.4 shares
Invested
$144
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-140
$-140INV $144 · WR 72.1%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 9¢·799.3 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-69
$-69INV $71 · WR 79.3%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 9¢·773.6 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-69
$-69INV $70 · WR 87.6%
N
neverhackme
Entry 9¢·257.8 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $23 · WR 76.0%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 3¢·600 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $18 · WR 71.7%
M
Milky-Morbid
Entry 10¢·154.1 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $15 · WR 58.3%
B
Bikesarethebest◆Proven
Entry 10¢·104 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 56.1%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 9¢·50.5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 59.3%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 4¢·58 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 85.7%
K
kaitemo
Entry 0¢·500 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
—
—INV $1 · WR 60.2%
Showing top 10 of 19
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.2K
Avg Win Rate
86.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.6K(+74.5%)
Whales
63
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 49¢·2,074.1 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$1048
+$1048INV $1.0K · WR 87.0%
V
VictorLudorum🥈
Entry 50¢·1,741.2 shares
Invested
$875
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$863
+$863INV $875 · WR 88.1%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 57¢·1,209.3 shares
Invested
$686
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$520
+$520INV $686 · WR 85.9%
G
glm404.fund
Entry 45¢·1,038.6 shares
Invested
$470
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$567
+$567INV $470 · WR 85.8%
N
northdrawer
Entry 53¢·792.6 shares
Invested
$418
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$373
+$373INV $418 · WR 87.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 93¢·323.5 shares
Invested
$301
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $301 · WR 89.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 46¢·600 shares
Invested
$277
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$322
+$322INV $277 · WR 89.3%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 98¢·241.2 shares
Invested
$237
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $237 · WR 79.5%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·422.1 shares
Invested
$209
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$212
+$212INV $209 · WR 88.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 96¢·189 shares
Invested
$182
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $182 · WR 88.7%
Showing top 10 of 63
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