Politics41 days left
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$6.2K
464 trades
Smart Whales
53
of 125 traders
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
11 MARKETS · $327.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
1¢+23¢$211.1K17/54Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+23¢1¢
$211.1K17/54
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election
0¢+22¢$3.7K11/39Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election+22¢0¢
$3.7K11/39
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs42 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team105 traders
Total Invested
$172
Avg Win Rate
86.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$157(-94.8%)
Whales
11
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 213¢·37.8 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-79
$-79INV $81 · WR 87.9%
C
cry.eth2🥈
Entry 50¢·109.7 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
$-51
$-51INV $55 · WR 87.1%
7
0x700974a3...🥉
Entry 50¢·34.9 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $17 · WR 82.7%
A
animal.bean
Entry 50¢·9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
82.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 82.3%
J
JordanMooney
Entry 50¢·7.8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 86.9%
N
Neat-Robot
Entry 50¢·3.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 58.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 89.4%
F
ffsFsfq
Entry 6¢·9.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 66.9%
E
Edje25
Entry 1¢·30 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 59.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 15¢·0.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 71.7%
Showing top 10 of 11
NO Team105 traders
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
87.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$514(+40.1%)
Whales
42
G
graynotebook19🥇
Entry 99¢·274.1 shares
Invested
$271
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $271 · WR 89.6%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 99¢·228 shares
Invested
$227
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $227 · WR 87.3%
M
Mysaria🥉
Entry 99¢·180.3 shares
Invested
$178
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $178 · WR 89.4%
A
Admirable-Trust
Entry 99¢·87.9 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $87 · WR 88.7%
C
Corlys
Entry 99¢·76.7 shares
Invested
$76
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $76 · WR 89.3%
P
plz-give-80-rebate
Entry 99¢·61.6 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $61 · WR 85.7%
A
Anon321321
Entry 100¢·61 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $61 · WR 86.3%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 99¢·60.6 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $60 · WR 78.0%
B
baE92E7959377B18Fd63b772C74147724E0.E7475
Entry 99¢·50 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $50 · WR 86.9%
M
mildwindow27
Entry 98¢·48.4 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $48 · WR 87.9%
Showing top 10 of 42
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