Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$33.8K
232 trades
Smart Whales
27
of 103 traders
Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?
5 MARKETS · $130.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
19 YESvs8 NO
70%30%
70% of smart money holding this market is on YES
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$6.1K
Avg Win Rate
60.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$17.2K(+281.3%)
Whales
19
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 21¢·15,359.1 shares
Invested
$3.3K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$12103
+$12103INV $3.3K · WR 57.7%
A
Anne666🥈hedged
Entry 100¢·1,881.7 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $1.9K · WR 56.9%
K
KimJonEn🥉
Entry 52¢·1,251.2 shares
Invested
$647
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$604
+$604INV $647 · WR 74.2%
B
big-shorthedged
Entry 93¢·130 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$121
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $121 · WR 71.0%
J
Jesetrading
Entry 54¢·100 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $54 · WR 67.3%
N
NotDyingToday
Entry 19¢·233.4 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
82.5%
Position P&L
+$189
+$189INV $44 · WR 82.5%
T
tsybkahedged
Entry 2¢·1,904.9 shares·also $3.4K on NO
Invested
$37
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$1868
+$1868INV $37 · WR 86.0%
C
calm.rabbithedged
Entry 4¢·609.5 shares·also $575 on NO
Invested
$24
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$586
+$586INV $24 · WR 61.7%
G
GollumGekko◆Proven
Entry 95¢·21.5 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $20 · WR 75.9%
X
X-Rabbit.Sezuhedged
Entry 83¢·16 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$13
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $13 · WR 67.1%
Showing top 10 of 19
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.7K
Avg Win Rate
76.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.7K(-100.0%)
Whales
8
T
tsybka🥇hedged
Entry 100¢·3,433.9 shares·also $37 on YES
Invested
$3.4K
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-3430
$-3430INV $3.4K · WR 86.0%
F
flexo🥈
Entry 100¢·1,631.7 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-1628
$-1628INV $1.6K · WR 62.3%
C
calm.rabbit🥉hedged
Entry 94¢·609.5 shares·also $24 on YES
Invested
$575
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-575
$-575INV $575 · WR 61.7%
X
X-Rabbit.Sezuhedged
Entry 63¢·16 shares·also $13 on YES
Invested
$10
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 67.1%
6
662lz3ipkjfehedged
Entry 98¢·4.1 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 69.2%
F
ffsFsfq
Entry 19¢·14 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 66.8%
A
Anne666hedged
Entry 0¢·2,171.4 shares·also $1.9K on YES
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 56.9%
B
big-shorthedged
Entry 6¢·5.3 shares·also $121 on YES
Invested
$0
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 71.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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