Infamous-Risk · Polymarket wallet 0xd501…1814

Wallet snapshot

Infamous-Risk has made 5,220 trades on Polymarket across 711 markets, $4,372 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (42%) and politics (18%). On 566 resolved markets the win rate is 55.5%, lifetime P&L +$70. It holds 95 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Netanyahu out by end of 2026?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No · $2 · 39¢ → 63¢
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No · $2 · 70¢ → 97¢
• Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No · $2 · 29¢ → 41¢
• Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?No · $2 · 85¢ → 98¢
• Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?Yes · $2 · 19¢ → 22¢
• Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?No · $2 · 85¢ → 95¢
• Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?No · $2 · 86¢ → 96¢
• Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?No · $2 · 83¢ → 91¢
• Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?Yes · $2 · 91¢ → 99¢
• Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No · $2 · 81¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · -$0 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes · +$2 · Oct 10, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes · +$0 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No · -$0 · Sep 22, 2026
• US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No · +$0 · Sep 21, 2026

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