GeopoliticsResolved
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$1.64M
22,557 trades
Smart Whales
343
of 1,634 traders · 8 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
179 YESvs172 NO
51%49%
51% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 96% YES by dollars · 87 YES vs 46 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$209 of $67.3K is hedged across different prices by 8 wallets. True directional: YES $64.1K·NO $3.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$118.5K
Avg Win Rate
65.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$91.2K(-77.0%)
Whales
179
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 46¢·61,149.7 shares
Invested
$28.2K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-28188
$-28188INV $28.2K · WR 72.2%
S
StupidMonkeyyy🥈
Entry 84¢·21,740.2 shares
Invested
$18.3K
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-18306
$-18306INV $18.3K · WR 58.7%
P
paddaa🥉
Entry 37¢·37,552 shares
Invested
$14.1K
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-14056
$-14056INV $14.1K · WR 61.1%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 27¢·22,749.8 shares·also $16.6K on NO
Invested
$6.2K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-6202
$-6202INV $6.2K · WR 55.3%
P
puravidahedged
Entry 34¢·7,686.6 shares·also $5.1K on NO
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-2626
$-2626INV $2.6K · WR 59.9%
S
Sticky-Closinghedged
Entry 45¢·5,224 shares·also $10.9K on NO
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-2352
$-2352INV $2.4K · WR 62.5%
H
Huludubu
Entry 75¢·3,068 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-2293
$-2293INV $2.3K · WR 65.1%
B
Barboncino
Entry 54¢·3,661.5 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-1972
$-1972INV $2.0K · WR 55.7%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 91¢·1,950 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-1766
$-1766INV $1.8K · WR 74.2%
O
On.The.Spectrum
Entry 33¢·4,760 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-1556
$-1556INV $1.6K · WR 68.2%
Showing top 10 of 179
NO Team
Total Invested
$262.7K
Avg Win Rate
70.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$140.0K(+53.3%)
Whales
172
S
SlotinCap🥇
Entry 53¢·122,581.1 shares
Invested
$64.5K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$58078
+$58078INV $64.5K · WR 72.2%
S
ScottyNooo🥈
Entry 60¢·59,369.8 shares
Invested
$35.5K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$23889
+$23889INV $35.5K · WR 56.0%
B
Bigggggggg🥉
Entry 59¢·36,551.5 shares
Invested
$21.7K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$14824
+$14824INV $21.7K · WR 85.8%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 73¢·22,554.5 shares·also $6.2K on YES
Invested
$16.6K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$5989
+$5989INV $16.6K · WR 55.3%
A
Ahpo
Entry 50¢·31,594.4 shares
Invested
$15.8K
Win Rate
92.2%
Position P&L
+$15797
+$15797INV $15.8K · WR 92.2%
S
Sticky-Closinghedged
Entry 121¢·9,002.1 shares·also $2.4K on YES
Invested
$10.9K
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-1887
$-1887INV $10.9K · WR 62.5%
P
puravidahedged
Entry 51¢·9,964.1 shares·also $2.6K on YES
Invested
$5.1K
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$4834
+$4834INV $5.1K · WR 59.9%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 43¢·11,027.1 shares
Invested
$4.7K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$6338
+$6338INV $4.7K · WR 85.9%
M
Mataty1hedged
Entry 75¢·5,159.7 shares·also $410 on YES
Invested
$3.9K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$1306
+$1306INV $3.9K · WR 72.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 38¢·10,059.8 shares
Invested
$3.8K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$6228
+$6228INV $3.8K · WR 87.7%
Showing top 10 of 172
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