GeopoliticsResolved

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?

YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$2.57M
22,490 trades
Smart Whales
884
of 3,038 traders

Smart Money Consensus

482 YESvs402 NO
55%46%
55% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 34 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $18.8K is directional: YES $18·NO $18.7K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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