kerob · Polymarket wallet 0x6214…20d1

+$176 lifetime P&L · 56.1% win rate · 66 resolved markets · 0x62141044945a94a0c2e33a75de77b3a05fd520d1

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Wallet snapshot

kerob has made 164 trades on Polymarket across 78 markets, $12K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (46%) and sports (17%). On 66 resolved markets the win rate is 56.1%, lifetime P&L +$176. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?". Last trade: Oct 7, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $331 · 82¢ → 91¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No · $146 · 83¢ → 87¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?No · $114 · 82¢ → 94¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $114 · 61¢ → 70¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Yes · $65 · 33¢ → 36¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No · $53 · 89¢ → 94¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes · $45 · 50¢ → 45¢

Latest closed positions

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Yes · +$164 · Oct 6, 2026
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes · +$8 · Sep 30, 2026
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No · +$20 · Sep 22, 2026
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes · -$24 · Sep 22, 2026
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No · +$6 · Sep 22, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes · -$34 · Sep 16, 2026

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