gkanor · Polymarket wallet 0xd2de…099b

Wallet snapshot

gkanor has made 1,200 trades on Polymarket across 341 markets, $15K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (78%) and economics (5%). On 300 resolved markets the win rate is 85.7%, lifetime P&L +$611. It holds 24 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?". Last trade: Oct 10, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?No · $80 · 91¢ → 97¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?No · $55 · 82¢ → 90¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?No · $53 · 86¢ → 92¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No · $53 · 89¢ → 95¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?No · $51 · 90¢ → 92¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $50 · 79¢ → 86¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?No · $38 · 68¢ → 85¢
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No · $36 · 55¢ → 80¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · $36 · 92¢ → 96¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes · $32 · 95¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Yes · +$1 · Oct 12, 2026
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?No · +$14 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$2 · Oct 9, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?Yes · +$1 · Oct 8, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No · +$1 · Oct 6, 2026
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No · +$61 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.