Polymarket wallet 0xc978…aa84

+$8,336 lifetime P&L · 85.6% win rate · 209 resolved markets · 0xc978d79d951231917f3ac4673bb74f28e7bdaa84

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Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xc978…aa84 has made 3,036 trades on Polymarket across 237 markets, $550K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (48%) and politics (33%). On 209 resolved markets the win rate is 85.6%, lifetime P&L +$8,336. It holds 18 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?". Last trade: Sep 20, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $13K · 83¢ → 91¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes · $695 · 70¢ → 96¢
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No · $451 · 74¢ → 93¢
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?No · $413 · 93¢ → 88¢
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes · $409 · 93¢ → 88¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes · $295 · 30¢ → 16¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $265 · 19¢ → 9¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes · $112 · 79¢ → 19¢
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes · $94 · 69¢ → 92¢
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · $63 · 4¢ → 2¢

Latest closed positions

Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$0 · Oct 9, 2026
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · +$10 · Oct 9, 2026
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · -$1,018 · Oct 5, 2026
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes · +$19 · Oct 2, 2026
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes · +$272 · Oct 2, 2026
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · -$425 · Sep 16, 2026

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