willin14 · Polymarket wallet 0xbbf6…3e76

Wallet snapshot

willin14 has made 156 trades on Polymarket across 103 markets, $8,414 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (30%) and geopolitics (21%). On 96 resolved markets the win rate is 86.5%, lifetime P&L +$135. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?". Last trade: Nov 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $105 · 94¢ → 97¢
• Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?No · $98 · 93¢ → 98¢
• Will XRP reach $3.00 in November?No · $97 · 99¢ → 100¢
• Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in November?No · $69 · 99¢ → 98¢
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No · $49 · 87¢ → 97¢
• Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No · $29 · 93¢ → 97¢
• Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Yes · $28 · 91¢ → 94¢

Latest closed positions

• Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?No · +$0 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 1, 2026
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?No · +$3 · Nov 1, 2026
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?No · +$3 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No · +$1 · Oct 27, 2026
• Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No · +$2 · Oct 27, 2026
• Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

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