Sports80 days left

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$4.47M
42,309 trades
Smart Whales
419
of 4,229 traders · 8 on both sides

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

27 MARKETS · $42.18M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

166 YESvs261 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 111 YES vs 135 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%· net of hedges
+61 new YES$2.3K+56 new NO$48.9K
$839 of this was bought on both sides by the same 25 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales18 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$69 of $319.8K is hedged across different prices by 8 wallets. True directional: YES $6.7K·NO $313.1K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 39% YES: Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or