MMIWW · Polymarket wallet 0xb0ba…b3f9

Wallet snapshot

MMIWW has made 1,941 trades on Polymarket across 215 markets, $123K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (44%) and politics (28%). On 187 resolved markets the win rate is 57.8%, lifetime P&L +$1,173. It holds 18 open positions right now; the largest is No on "US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?". Last trade: Nov 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No · $550 · 59¢ → 64¢
• Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No · $278 · 93¢ → 93¢
• Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $200 · 57¢ → 72¢
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No · $160 · 79¢ → 97¢
• Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No · $148 · 83¢ → 89¢
• Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?Yes · $130 · 77¢ → 82¢
• Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?No · $16 · 74¢ → 95¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $5 · 50¢ → 96¢
• Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $5 · 2¢ → 1¢
• Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes · $4 · 66¢ → 77¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · +$94 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes · +$84 · Oct 31, 2026
• US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes · +$20 · Oct 29, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · +$70 · Oct 28, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · +$119 · Oct 28, 2026
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · -$112 · Oct 26, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.