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Politics15 days left

Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
26Ā¢
26% implied
NO Price
74Ā¢
74% implied
Volume
$78.9K
1,519 trades
Smart Whales
84
of 344 traders Ā· 2 on both sides

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

5 MARKETS Ā· $473.2K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

22 YESvs64 NO
26%74%
74% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 29% YES by dollars Ā· 17 YES vs 22 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 76%Ā· net of hedges
+6 new YES$922+19 new NO$2.9K
$45 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers ā€” left out of momentum
0 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure Ā· invested basis
$52 of $20.1K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $5.7KĀ·NO $14.3K
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.9K
Avg Win Rate
66.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$533(+9.1%)
Whales
22
S
Sticky-ClosingšŸ„‡
Entry 27Ā¢Ā·11,076 shares
+$81INV $3.0K Ā· WR 62.5%
M
mr.ozišŸ„ˆhedged
Entry 22Ā¢Ā·8,786.6 sharesĀ·also $6 on NO
+$526INV $1.9K Ā· WR 71.4%
P
Paul.DiracšŸ„‰
Entry 30Ā¢Ā·1,229.9 shares
$-26INV $365 Ā· WR 73.2%
G
Glicha
Entry 27Ā¢Ā·636 shares
+$2INV $173 Ā· WR 64.7%
R
RememberAmalekProven
Entry 22Ā¢Ā·636.2 shares
+$36INV $139 Ā· WR 64.4%
3
0x3564035c...hedged
Entry 66Ā¢Ā·170.5 sharesĀ·also $31 on NO
$-69INV $113 Ā· WR 65.0%
R
RedLizzard
Entry 33Ā¢Ā·93.8 shares
$-5INV $31 Ā· WR 62.7%
O
ox01e607d27875e10bb09FcF3309C899a664313641
Entry 29Ā¢Ā·88.4 shares
$-1INV $25 Ā· WR 76.1%
A
Affectionate-Monger
Entry 29Ā¢Ā·80 shares
$-1INV $23 Ā· WR 79.1%
M
Melodic-Salmonhedged
Entry 37Ā¢Ā·61.7 sharesĀ·also $20 on NO
$-6INV $23 Ā· WR 63.6%
Showing top 10 of 22

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 26% YES: Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026ā€¦