Ill-Nutmeg-Statue · Polymarket wallet 0x90f9…1a71

+$38 lifetime P&L · 85.7% win rate · 154 resolved markets · 0x90f92595bcb3d8a678a3c4a5c325201e0e5a1a71

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Wallet snapshot

Ill-Nutmeg-Statue has made 1,507 trades on Polymarket across 180 markets, $11K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (70%) and politics (11%). On 154 resolved markets the win rate is 85.7%, lifetime P&L +$38. It holds 9 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Nov 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $95 · 87¢ → 83¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $83 · 94¢ → 96¢
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?Yes · $66 · 76¢ → 100¢
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes · $53 · 89¢ → 94¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $52 · 95¢ → 99¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?Yes · $29 · 97¢ → 97¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $28 · 77¢ → 65¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?Yes · $24 · 94¢ → 98¢
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes · $23 · 100¢ → 100¢

Latest closed positions

1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?Yes · -$4 · Nov 1, 2026
1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?No · +$0 · Nov 1, 2026
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Oct 31?No · +$0 · Nov 1, 2026
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Yes · +$7 · Nov 1, 2026
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 1, 2026
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?No · +$1 · Nov 1, 2026
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

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