Polymarket wallet 0x8242…0f3c

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x8242…0f3c has made 3,004 trades on Polymarket across 447 markets, $6,911 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (46%) and politics (17%). On 390 resolved markets the win rate is 57.2%, lifetime P&L -$108. It holds 55 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?". Last trade: Sep 25, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes · $9 · 39¢ → 48¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $8 · 73¢ → 83¢
• Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No · $7 · 63¢ → 74¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes · $6 · 26¢ → 24¢
• Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No · $4 · 74¢ → 96¢
• Will GameStop acquire eBay?No · $3 · 83¢ → 94¢
• Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No · $3 · 91¢ → 98¢
• Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes · $3 · 3¢ → 8¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $2 · 51¢ → 64¢
• US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes · $2 · 46¢ → 11¢

Latest closed positions

• Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes · +$2 · Oct 10, 2026
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes · -$2 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Yes · +$2 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?No · -$1 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No · -$1 · Sep 25, 2026
• Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?Yes · +$5 · Sep 25, 2026
• Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.