Velkin · Polymarket wallet 0x42de…d4af

+$5 lifetime P&L · 90% win rate · 20 resolved markets · 0x42de5db0bb0e2ab347df5af2c0264311cf5bd4af

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Wallet snapshot

Velkin has made 58 trades on Polymarket across 31 markets, $141 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (57%) and sports (27%). On 20 resolved markets the win rate is 90%, lifetime P&L +$5. It holds 10 open positions right now; the largest is No on "NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Nov 3, 2026.

Largest open positions

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No · $18 · 71¢ → 88¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?No · $11 · 71¢ → 78¢
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No · $9 · 72¢ → 95¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $2 · 95¢ → 95¢
Will Iran target Syria by October 31, 2026?No · $2 · 98¢ → 98¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 6?No · $2 · 96¢ → 98¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $2 · 95¢ → 84¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $1 · 73¢ → 78¢
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Yes · $1 · 93¢ → 94¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes · $1 · 99¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?No · +$0 · Nov 3, 2026
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 1, 2026
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?No · +$0 · Nov 1, 2026
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No · +$0 · Nov 1, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Yes · +$0 · Oct 27, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes · +$0 · Oct 26, 2026
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.