YES Price
95¢
95% implied
NO Price
5¢
5% implied
Volume
$1.16M
4,365 trades
Smart Whales
213
of 782 traders · 3 on both sides
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
6 MARKETS · $6.22M MATCHEDSmart Money
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31
35¢+12¢$432.3K55/62US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31+12¢35¢
$432.3K55/62
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15
60¢−10¢$117.3K37/37US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15−10¢60¢
$117.3K37/37
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30
44¢0¢$456.8K57/73US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 300¢44¢
$456.8K57/73
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12
99¢−25¢$1.81M163/56US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12−25¢99¢
$1.81M163/56
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
149 YESvs67 NO
69%31%
69% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 92% YES by dollars · 76 YES vs 25 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 92%· net of hedges
+125 new YES$106.5K+70 new NO$14.8K
$11.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 16 buyers — left out of momentum
32 smart whales19 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$7 of $107.3K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $98.5K·NO $8.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$173.0K
Avg Win Rate
71.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$31.0K(+17.9%)
Whales
149
R
Renan2030🥇
Entry 94¢·25,970.2 shares
Invested
$24.4K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
$-130
$-130INV $24.4K · WR 77.3%
L
LJa7io23MCv954j🥈
Entry 76¢·28,260.9 shares
Invested
$21.4K
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$5272
+$5272INV $21.4K · WR 70.0%
M
MisTKy🥉
Entry 49¢·36,618.6 shares
Invested
$17.9K
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$16751
+$16751INV $17.9K · WR 71.3%
A
Astera
Entry 91¢·17,448.9 shares
Invested
$15.9K
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$419
+$419INV $15.9K · WR 73.2%
D
Dragontree◆Proven
Entry 90¢·11,820 shares
Invested
$10.6K
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$414
+$414INV $10.6K · WR 67.4%
G
GoriIIa
Entry 94¢·9,016.9 shares
Invested
$8.5K
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $8.5K · WR 71.8%
S
SquirrelTheMerchant
Entry 92¢·7,201 shares
Invested
$6.6K
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$118
+$118INV $6.6K · WR 64.9%
E
ED99999
Entry 94¢·5,955 shares
Invested
$5.6K
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5.6K · WR 73.6%
C
classified◆Proven
Entry 93¢·5,000 shares
Invested
$4.7K
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $4.7K · WR 82.7%
T
truthteller
Entry 91¢·5,000 shares
Invested
$4.5K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$175
+$175INV $4.5K · WR 57.7%
Showing top 10 of 149
NO Team
Total Invested
$39.8K
Avg Win Rate
63.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$21.4K(-53.9%)
Whales
67
M
Marco-Rubio🥇
Entry 90¢·8,746.2 shares
Invested
$7.9K
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-7385
$-7385INV $7.9K · WR 62.6%
M
MEPP🥈
Entry 92¢·6,872.2 shares
Invested
$6.3K
Win Rate
64.2%
Position P&L
$-5912
$-5912INV $6.3K · WR 64.2%
P
paddaa🥉hedged
Entry 86¢·7,145.7 shares·also $192 on YES
Invested
$6.1K
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-5748
$-5748INV $6.1K · WR 61.1%
B
betwick◆Proven
Entry 11¢·23,278.5 shares
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
$-938
$-938INV $2.5K · WR 59.8%
M
meagainsttheworld◆Proven
Entry 9¢·19,999.6 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
64.8%
Position P&L
$-552
$-552INV $1.9K · WR 64.8%
C
Car
Entry 6¢·24,444 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $1.5K · WR 64.9%
G
GollumGekko◆Proven
Entry 13¢·7,165.9 shares
Invested
$952
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-486
$-486INV $952 · WR 75.9%
N
noib
Entry 18¢·4,662.2 shares
Invested
$844
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-261
$-261INV $844 · WR 57.7%
C
Cungly
Entry 11¢·4,522.2 shares
Invested
$482
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-188
$-188INV $482 · WR 65.2%
C
compute
Entry 12¢·1,590.1 shares
Invested
$185
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $185 · WR 55.1%
Showing top 10 of 67
Smart Whale Trades
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