Milky-Beanstalk · Polymarket wallet 0xd157…e9d4

Wallet snapshot

Milky-Beanstalk has made 187 trades on Polymarket across 19 markets, $84K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (90%) and sports (5%). On 14 resolved markets the win rate is 85.7%, lifetime P&L +$95. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?". Last trade: Nov 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?No · $2,111 · 92¢ → 99¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?Yes · $1,279 · 98¢ → 99¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?Yes · $1,020 · 98¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Yes · +$295 · Oct 31, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · +$1 · Oct 30, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · -$1,320 · Oct 29, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?Yes · +$304 · Oct 26, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes · +$133 · Oct 26, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Yes · +$212 · Oct 24, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Yes · +$62 · Oct 24, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Yes · +$42 · Oct 22, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Yes · +$159 · Oct 18, 2026
• France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026?Yes · -$24 · Oct 18, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.