Aaronpm · Polymarket wallet 0x0f61…1103

Wallet snapshot

Aaronpm has made 6,023 trades on Polymarket across 602 markets, $50K in volume. Most of it is in sports (54%) and geopolitics (18%). On 580 resolved markets the win rate is 63.3%. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?". Last trade: Oct 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $67 · 71¢ → 70¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $65 · 66¢ → 88¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No · $50 · 84¢ → 84¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $47 · 84¢ → 81¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No · $46 · 84¢ → 81¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $45 · 92¢ → 91¢
• Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes · $39 · 75¢ → 82¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $28 · 87¢ → 91¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · +$5 · Oct 5, 2026
• Iran leadership change by September 30?No · +$2 · Oct 1, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes · +$23 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · -$1 · Sep 23, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes · +$17 · Sep 23, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No · +$1 · Sep 22, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.