uncleroger · Polymarket wallet 0x0aae…251c

+$158,083 lifetime P&L · 70.3% win rate · 767 resolved markets · 0x0aae5c4ec45339a64a1dd2fe4ba98c2a19eb251c

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Wallet snapshot

uncleroger has made 15,177 trades on Polymarket across 791 markets, $12M in volume. Most of it is in politics (22%) and crypto (21%). On 767 resolved markets the win rate is 70.3%, lifetime P&L +$158K. It holds 20 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?". Last trade: Sep 3, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No · $23K · 94¢ → 97¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes · $2,885 · 79¢ → 97¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $1,495 · 92¢ → 89¢
GTA VI released by November 30?Yes · $801 · 92¢ → 97¢
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No · $733 · 87¢ → 98¢
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?No · $667 · 90¢ → 98¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?Yes · $279 · 87¢ → 97¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $243 · 24¢ → 18¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · $163 · 27¢ → 16¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No · $163 · 31¢ → 33¢

Latest closed positions

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes · +$50 · Sep 16, 2026
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes · -$93 · Sep 16, 2026
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes · -$522 · Sep 16, 2026
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes · -$141 · Sep 3, 2026
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · -$294 · Sep 3, 2026
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?Yes · +$22 · Sep 3, 2026
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

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