ontreeman · Polymarket wallet 0x0a38…f397

Wallet snapshot

ontreeman has made 283 trades on Polymarket across 144 markets, $2,237 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (42%) and politics (24%). On 136 resolved markets the win rate is 86%, lifetime P&L +$111. It holds 3 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?". Last trade: Jul 8, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No · $9 · 90¢ → 94¢
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes · $3 · 25¢ → 9¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?Yes · $2 · 9¢ → 3¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes · -$1 · Jul 4, 2026
• Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes · -$0 · Jul 3, 2026
• Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Yes · +$0 · Jul 3, 2026
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Yes · -$1 · Jul 2, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No · +$3 · Jun 26, 2026
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Jun 26, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes · +$2 · Jun 9, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?Yes · +$0 · Jun 1, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?No · +$7 · May 28, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?No · +$3 · May 27, 2026

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