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Geopolitics2 days left

US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
92¢
92% implied
NO Price
8¢
8% implied
Volume
$12.8K
97 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 66 traders · 1 on both sides

US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?

6 MARKETS · $68.7K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs3 NO
57%43%
57% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 94%· net of hedges
+40 new YES$10.8K+45 new NO$758
$203 of this was bought on both sides by the same 18 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $275 is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. True directional: YES $260·NO $15
YES Team
Total Invested
$260
Avg Win Rate
77.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$3(+1.1%)
Whales
4
C
chew-it🥇
Entry 93¢·267.7 shares
+$3INV $250 · WR 77.1%
C
CampruCali🥈
Entry 96¢·5.2 shares
$-0INV $5 · WR 95.5%
T
tatantus1🥉
Entry 95¢·5 shares
$-0INV $5 · WR 94.7%
V
vbfdsoibhjdfslboth sides
Entry 50¢·1 shares·also $1 on NO
+$0INV $1 · WR 68.8%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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