Geopolitics87 days left
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$69.9K
1,484 trades
Smart Whales
67
of 365 traders · 1 on both sides
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
4 MARKETS · $973.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026
17¢+24¢$420.6K32/47Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026+24¢17¢
$420.6K32/47
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026
56¢−19¢$189.4K23/39Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026−19¢56¢
$189.4K23/39
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
21 YESvs47 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 82% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%
+3 new YES$6+2 new NO$308
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$214 of $1.4K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $939·NO $203YES Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
67.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.0K(-80.8%)
Whales
21
4
0x4e25605f...🥇hedged
Entry 17¢·2,700 shares·also $107 on NO
Invested
$450
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-412
$-412INV $450 · WR 69.4%
D
DEGENKHAN◆Proven🥈
Entry 7¢·4,195.6 shares
Invested
$301
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-242
$-242INV $301 · WR 66.6%
G
gopfan2◆Proven🥉
Entry 9¢·3,016.6 shares
Invested
$259
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-217
$-217INV $259 · WR 60.2%
D
DegenerateJanethedged
Entry 7¢·1,000 shares·also $860 on NO
Invested
$70
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $70 · WR 83.8%
H
hellokittyhellokitty
Entry 14¢·409.5 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-51
$-51INV $57 · WR 66.6%
H
hetacz◆Proven
Entry 17¢·200 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $34 · WR 81.6%
D
DooBieZhedged
Entry 12¢·91.7 shares·also $80 on NO
Invested
$11
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $11 · WR 62.8%
N
Noisy-Peanut
Entry 10¢·28.4 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 81.3%
A
Aggravating-Jumbo
Entry 1¢·35.4 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 68.3%
M
MinistryOfPanic
Entry 14¢·0.7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 58.8%
Showing top 10 of 21
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.2K
Avg Win Rate
78.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$7.8K(+242.0%)
Whales
47
D
DegenerateJanet🥇hedged
Entry 86¢·1,000 shares·also $70 on YES
Invested
$860
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$126
+$126INV $860 · WR 83.8%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 8¢·6,303.4 shares
Invested
$482
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$5733
+$5733INV $482 · WR 57.7%
R
rated🥉
Entry 54¢·848.2 shares
Invested
$462
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$374
+$374INV $462 · WR 87.7%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 23¢·1,476.8 shares
Invested
$332
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1124
+$1124INV $332 · WR 85.8%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 96¢·142 shares
Invested
$137
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $137 · WR 68.2%
4
0x4e25605f...hedged
Entry 85¢·126 shares·also $450 on YES
Invested
$107
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $107 · WR 69.4%
D
Davidbill
Entry 97¢·100 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $97 · WR 74.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 63¢·150 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $95 · WR 87.7%
D
DooBieZhedged
Entry 87¢·91.7 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$80
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $80 · WR 62.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 93¢·80.8 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $75 · WR 79.6%
Showing top 10 of 47
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