Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-09 House election by 55% or more?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$2.3K
96 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 67 traders
VA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $34.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs11 NO
8%92%
92% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+1 new YES$0+1 new NO$30
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $221 is directional: YES $8·NO $214YES Team
Total Invested
$8
Avg Win Rate
73.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$8(-97.0%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$386
Avg Win Rate
71.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$83(+21.4%)
Whales
11
W
Weary-Pat-Slash🥇
Entry 92¢·202.2 shares
Invested
$186
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $186 · WR 62.5%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 99¢·60 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $60 · WR 89.0%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 93¢·40 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $37 · WR 86.1%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 53¢·56.6 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $30 · WR 86.1%
J
johnashbough
Entry 89¢·30.4 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $27 · WR 55.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 99¢·15 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $15 · WR 79.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 98¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 66.7%
P
Pertinent-Nudge-Rancher
Entry 97¢·9 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 79.8%
L
Lucerys
Entry 91¢·6.9 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $6 · WR 87.6%
V
vviejfiejfeiejfiii221
Entry 100¢·5.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 73.0%
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