Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-09 House election by 30%-35%?
YES Price
43¢
43% implied
NO Price
57¢
57% implied
Volume
$10.1K
377 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 117 traders
VA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $31.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs7 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 80% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 83%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$41+3 new NO$196
$3 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $703 is directional: YES $561·NO $141YES Team
Total Invested
$568
Avg Win Rate
66.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$342(+60.3%)
Whales
3
S
SnowLover7◆Proven🥇
Entry 27¢·2,019.3 shares
Invested
$552
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
+$326
+$326INV $552 · WR 66.3%
S
sweetj🥈
Entry 17¢·53 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $9 · WR 74.4%
A
Anjun🥉hedged
Entry 31¢·22 shares·also $35 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $7 · WR 58.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$285
Avg Win Rate
71.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$34(-11.9%)
Whales
7
1
1walrus🥇
Entry 69¢·204.9 shares
Invested
$141
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $141 · WR 64.5%
S
smallreceipt🥈
Entry 55¢·80 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $44 · WR 88.9%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 70¢·60 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $42 · WR 86.2%
A
Anjunhedged
Entry 68¢·52 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$35
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $35 · WR 58.6%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $10 · WR 66.6%
L
Lucerys
Entry 50¢·13.8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 88.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 79.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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